UPDATE: 10/28/10, "DOCTORS' ORGANIZATION ENDORSES (ANNA) LITTLE FOR CONGRESS," posted on MoreMonmouthMusings.net
On ANNA LITTLE winning in New Jersey's 6th congressional district:
- 10/29, "A Little Lady Predicts a Big Win, A Republican Tide may even reach the Jersey Shore," Wall St. Journal, Peggy Noonan
- If she wins it means the Republican wave swept all before it.
Not that she's expected to. She's running for Congress in the Jersey Shore's Sixth Congressional District, which went for Mr. Obama over Mr. McCain 60% to 38%. She's the Republican mayor of Highlands, population 5,000 up against
- incumbent Frank Pallone, an 11-term Democratic veteran who won in 2008 by 35 points.
A Monmouth University poll has her down seven points. On the bright side, numbers guru
- Nate Silver just increased her chances of winning from 2% to 5%, and
- Charlie Cook changed the listing of the race from safe Democrat to likely Democrat....
Ms. Little takes it in stride. She says she's not looking at Obama's numbers. "I'm looking
- at Chris Christie's numbers." The Republican governor carried the district by 8% last November....(or more, commenter Jocon @ FR estimated Christie had 12/5%, ed.)
The polls came like waves this week. Independents breaking hard for the GOP, those making under $50,000 going Republican, the party has a 20% lead among college graduates. Gallup says 2010 is looking better than the year of the last great sweep,
- with 55% of respondents now saying they are Republican or lean Republican.
- It was 49% in 1994.
RealClearPolitics has 222 House seats going to the Republicans, 175 to Democrats, and 38 toss-ups, of which 36 are currently held by the Democrats..
- The president's approval numbers remain well below 50%," ...